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Home Retail News Comment

H1 performance has investors rightly questioning Shein’s long term growth, says GlobalData

by Fiona Briggs
September 29, 2026
in Comment
Reading Time: 2 mins read

Following today’s release of Shein’s figures for the six months ending 30 June 2026; Chloe Tedford-Jones, apparel analyst at GlobalData, a leading intelligence and productivity platform, offers her view:  “Shein delivered near-flat top-line growth in its first financial release since launching its Hong Kong IPO on 1 September 2026. Net revenue rose 1.0% to $20.1bn in H1 FY2026, with Q2 up 0.9%, extending the slowdown from its 8% growth in FY2025. Profitability weakened more sharply, with operating income falling 52.9% to $493mn in H1, and 66.3% to $235m in Q2. Shein attributed its slowdown to lower sales volumes after raising prices and reducing online advertising spend ahead of the removal of the customs duty exemption. These measures appear to be an early effort to protect margins and offset higher fulfilment, marketing, and compliance costs, although management’s focus on further price increases in H2 risks putting additional pressure on demand. An 11% fall in Shein’s share price reflects investor concerns that rising costs are eroding earnings faster than revenue can compensate.

“Shein’s performance regionally was uneven in H1. In the US, revenue fell 9.9% to $4.5bn, including a   6.1% contraction in Q2, limited by the closure of the de minimis loophole, which led to tariffs and customs fees on small parcel imports under $800, directly inflating checkout prices and extending delivery times for shoppers. Revenue outside the US increased 4.6% to $15.6bn in H1, as aggressive geographic expansion and rising brand penetration in emerging markets offset Western pullbacks.  In Q2, Europe was the primary drag on performance, with revenue down 13.9% to $3.8bn, mainly driven by increased prices in anticipation of new customs fees introduced by the EU on 1 July for imported parcels under €150, as well as additional processing fees due in November, directly undermining the low-cost cross-border logistics advantage central to Shein’s appeal. In contrast, the rest of the world (outside the US and Europe) delivered strong momentum in Q2, surging 21.6% to $4.8bn. This outperformance was driven by rapid adoption and localized marketplace rollouts in high-growth regions such as Latin America and the Middle East, where regulatory headwinds remain lower and appetite for accessible value apparel remains strong.

“Product performance remains under pressure, with product revenue declining 1.9% in H1 to $17.4bn and 3.4% in Q2. By contrast, service revenue rose 24.9% in H1 and 44.2% in Q2, proving that marketplace and related services have become a more important contributor to its revenue mix. Shein has already identified that it aims to onboard more third-party brands with higher price points to raise its average selling price further in H2, but the effectiveness of this will depend on whether it can establish sufficient perceived differentiation of these brands to convince shoppers to trade up. Shein’s appeal is built on its ultra-low prices, so consumers could be more likely to reduce order volumes or switch to other value alternatives if its affordability decreases.”

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