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Home Retail News Retailer News

Sainsbury’s upgrades profit guidance following a strong H1 performance, says GlobalData

by Fiona Briggs
November 6, 2025
in Retailer News
Reading Time: 2 mins read

Following today’s release of Sainsbury’s figures for the 28 weeks ending 13 September 2025; Eleanor Simpson- Gould, senior retail analyst at GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company, offers her view: “Sainsbury’s has delivered a strong H1 performance, building on its positive Q1 results. The supermarket retailer has now achieved three consecutive quarters of growth across both food and non-food operations – a rare feat for the grocer. Total retail sales excluding fuel rose to £15.6bn, up 4.8%, underpinned by a 5.3% growth in grocery sales. The first half reflects successful initiatives, which included an extension of Aldi Price Match and significant product innovation, boosting value perception. Consequently, Sainsbury’s has lifted its operating profit guidance to above £1.0bn, which reflects both the operational gains achieved in H1 and confidence in sustaining momentum into peak trading. As it enters the golden quarter, it must ensure it takes a balanced approach, not neglecting its non-food proposition, given its appeal to grocery shoppers picking up impulse gift items.

“Grocery sales accelerated to 5.7% in Q2 compared to the 5.0% uplift in Q1. Consequently, Sainsbury’s H1 grocery results (+5.3%) have outpaced the UK food & grocery market (+3.6%) but remain behind Tesco’s +5.7% food performance for a similar comparative period for the 26 weeks ending 23 August 2025. Though these figures will have benefited from an acceleration in food inflation in August 2025, Sainsbury’s has successfully navigated these headwinds with a dual strategy of enhancing its premium own-brand line with around 300 new SKUs and extending the Aldi Price Match to 800 lines. These initiatives have been central to capturing customers who want to treat themselves, while protecting its appeal to price-sensitive shoppers, allowing the grocer to capture essential and discretionary spend. Building on the success of its premium range, Sainsbury’s launched Taste the Difference Discovery, a premium dine‑in and speciality ingredients line featuring British Wagyu beef, artisan cheeses and wines and classic ready meals, such as Hot Chicken Tikka Masala and Poacher’s Pie, which have delivered an 18% increase in Taste the Difference fresh sales and almost 40% growth in premium dine‑in revenues since launch. Sainsbury’s should prioritise expanding the Discovery range into H2 to capitalise further on consumer appetite for enhanced world food-orientated products.

“The general merchandise, Tu clothing, and Argos divisions showed mixed results during the period. Tu clothing excelled with sales increasing by 7.8%, thanks to improved product ranges, better availability, and strong online performance – a clear sign that the grocer’s range is resonating among consumers and improving full-price sell-through. Yet, general merchandise sales softened in the latter part of H1, as Sainsbury’s continues to allocate more space to its food division, a trade‑off which is proving successful. However, Sainsbury’s must continue to roll out its space reallocation strategically on a store-by-store basis to avoid undermining profitable non-food niches. Argos experienced modest sales growth and increased profitability; however, with over 80% of its sales conducted online, its instore presence has become increasingly limited to a collection network. Heading into the peak season, Argos must exploit its vast collection estate by guaranteeing local stock for on-trend toys and gifts, ensuring availability is clearly detailed and encouraging shoppers to pick up within minutes to convert visits into impulse buys rather than lose sales to rivals such as Amazon and Tesco.”

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  1. Tesco upgrades profit guidance following a robust H1 performance, says GlobalData Following today’s release of Tesco’s figures for the 26 weeks ending 23 August 2025; Eleanor Simpson-Gould, senior analyst at GlobalData,...
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